'Success" in Iraqi Elections?

Andrew Sullivan, a liberal who supports the war in Iraq, wonders what criteria should be used to count this week's elections in that country a success. His suggestions are rather grim, in a way, but perhaps realistic:

HOW DO WE JUDGE SUCCESS? How do we tell if the Iraqi elections are a success? That they happen at all? Surely we should have a higher standard than that. Here are my criteria: over 50 percent turnout among the Shia and Kurds, and over 30 percent turnout for the Sunnis. No massive disruption of voting places; no theft of ballots. Fewer than 500 murdered. Any other suggestions for relevant criteria? Am I asking too much? I'm just thinking out loud. But it makes sense to have some guidelines before Sunday so we don't just fit what happens to our pre-existing hopes or rationalizations.

I'm praying that the entire process will be free of disruptions, that American troops sent there will be safe, and that Iraqis will decisively participate. No matter what one's politics or view of President Bush's foreign policy, I think it's imperative that Iraq's transition to democracy be successful.